Murphy's Law in full effect for upset loss ☕ taken at Petersen Events Center (Pitt)

Ryan Murphy. – MATT SUNDAY / DKPS

It's easy to blame Pitt's 75-70 loss Saturday against Nicholls State on the 21 turnovers. Or the 10-for-18 effort from the free-throw line. Or the dynamic duo of Xavier Johnson and Trey McGowens combining for just 20 points against nine turnovers.

But really?

It's actually simpler than that for this Pitt basketball team. It's nothing that happened on the court. It's all this, broken down by head coach Jeff Capel post-game:

"I'm concerned," Capel began. "I was concerned coming into this game. I was concerned before Florida State. I'll be really concerned Tuesday [before Robert Morris]. I mean, I'm concerned. We have a long way to go, and I know that. We won the first game, and it's almost like, 'Well, hey, we've arrived. Everything is changed.' It hasn't. I understand that."

Capel gets it ... but do the players grasp it yet?

"But it's hard, sometimes, to get an 18-year-old or a 19-year-old, or a 20, 21, 22-year-old to understand that — especially in the world that they live in where everyone's telling them how good they are because of a win," Capel continued. "And as much as you say, 'Don't look at this stuff. Don't believe it, don't whatever, it's going to happen. Just like I'm going to tell them, 'Everyone's going to tell you [that] you stink right now. That's going to happen.' ... You can't believe that either. We try to talk about one voice, and that's the voice in the locker room, and that's our voice. And we have to do that. We have to grow up. That's the main thing. We have to grow up."

Unfortunately for this Panthers squad, there's no magic "experience" button Capel can press to accelerate the process. It'll be a work-in-progress all year, but a vital one as this program pushes forward. And in an odd, backward way, that season-opening win against Florida State might've caused more harm than good on this level.

"There's people [that have] patted them on the back for a night and two days. They won't be getting pats today. So it's a great lesson. It's unfortunate that you have to learn it like this, but it's a great lesson. You would've hoped we learned it last year, because of all of 'em, but we're still not there yet as a program. We have to continue to grow in that area."

As Capel mentions, the full scope of this loss extends well beyond the court. It's what was expected all along for this year's Pitt squad, but that victory over the Seminoles injected an unexpectedly high dose of hope into the young season. Then came Nicholls State and that trio of D'Angelo Hunter (17), Kevin Johnson (16) and Andre Jones (15) combining for 48 points against just six turnovers.

That's efficiency and team basketball. That's some polish and composure.

"Their game plan was terrific," Capel said of Nicholls State. "They came out with great energy, great togetherness early and really just took it to us right at the start of the game. They had so many of their guys step up and make big plays, make big shots."

They sure did. Pitt didn't.

Ryan Murphy led the way with 28 points on 10-for-17 shooting (including 4-for-7 from behind the arc), but after that, McGowens and Johnson's 10 apiece was next best. Yeah, it's 48 points combined just like Nicholls State's trio — but Murphy also had five turnovers, giving Pitt's leading three 14 total.

"Not turn over the ball. I had five turnovers. That's terrible," Murphy said when I asked him what he still needs to show moving forward.

The good news for Pitt is this: Murphy did have 28 points on efficient shooting, his second straight showing as Pitt's best offensive player. McGowens and Johnson are struggling out of the gate, but when they come around, Murphy will provide the perfect complement to their games. Terrell Brown — who I identified as Pitt's standout player against Florida State —  showed up again, too, notching eight points, five rebounds and five blocks off the bench.

Then consider this, Capel is excited by the challenge at hand. I asked him about it after the game, and his response was filled with everything you could possibly want to hear from a leader under these circumstances:

"It's one of the really good things with coaching is that you have an opportunity to have an impact," Capel said. "Our profession is ... it's hard. It's challenging. But it can be so rewarding, and it can break your heart. You go through these highs — I try to lean on now something my dad always taught me when I got into the business: It's that your highs aren't too high, [and] you can't have your lows be too low. You have to kind of keep it in the middle, and that's our challenge right now. Just like it was after Florida State.

"We have to understand who we are. And there's a fine line. We aren't one of these programs — yet — where you can just show up and you're just going to out-talent everyone. That is not us. We aren't going to just out-talent anyone. I don't care who it is we play. That's not who we are. I understand that. We have to understand that, and then we have to understand the things that we have to do that have to become a habit. And that's when you have a very strong culture. We're working to try to build that. It doesn't just happen because we put [up] a video about some bricks. Or we win a game or we do this. It's not words. It's living it every day, and that's where we have to continue to grow."

The pieces are still right here, and the mission is clear. But in the end, there's no sugar-coating this flop in front of the home faithful from Capel and company. Pitt beat Florida State in opening-night conference play then turned around and lost at home to Nicholls State. What could go wrong for this young team did go wrong.

The turnovers, the poor free-throw shooting, the bad decisions, the lack of energy — that all can't combine on the same night again if they're to be taken seriously.

"I'm incredibly disappointed in us," Capel said. "And when I say 'us,' that's our staff. Obviously, that starts with me, and our team. We didn't have the energy that was worthy of winning throughout the game. We didn't have the toughness and togetherness ... We have to have a maturity that's not there yet, and this is a great opportunity for us to learn from this loss. We got what we deserved."

• A little more on Murphy, because the points don't tell the whole story. He added five rebounds — three offensive — in his team-leading 36:57 of playing time, providing a noticeable spark to the team the second he stepped on the court.

"Ryan Murphy goes in there looking like Dennis Rodman, tipping balls off the glass," Nicholls State head coach Austin Claunch was saying after the game.

The season is young, but Murphy's proving to be the X-factor Pitt's lacked in recent years. I'm still not convinced he'll ever be the "star" of this squad with McGowens and Johnson still finding their footing, but he'll be what they need.

• Overall, Pitt shot 50 percent from the field (28-for-56) but just 25 percent from deep (4-for-16) and 55.6 percent (10-for-18) from the charity stripe. That's an improvement overall from the 31.4 percent performance from the field against Florida State, but this continues to be a major weakness for the squad. Nicholls State went 11-for-24 (45.8 percent) from deep, and Pitt had no answers. When it becomes a shootout, Pitt can't hang yet. That much is clear early in 2019-20.

• About that 50 percent shooting ... Coming into this one, Capel-led teams were 76-8 when shooting at least 50 percent. Make that 76-9.

• Pitt's 21 turnovers were their most since Dec. 8, 2018, at West Virginia.

• Johnson got in early foul trouble, limiting him to 23:32 of playing time. McGowens, however, was the more concerning of the two sophomores. He repeatedly forced the ball and disrupted the flow of the offense in favor of pull-up jump shots or ill-advised takes to the rim. It wasn't a composed performance by any stretch. He needs to be better — both physically and mentally — for this Pitt team to take that next step.

• That's just the third loss by Pitt here at the Pete in November. They're now 70-3 all-time here in the month.

• Pitt outscored Nicholls State off the bench, 41-28, but not really. Murphy and Brown, who combined for 36 of those 41, technically came off the bench, but they were first and third, respectively, in minutes played. Beyond them, Justin Champagnie had the other five. With that, Pitt is now averaging 37.5 points off the bench per game through two.

• Nicholls State outscored Pitt in second-chance points (26-14), fast-break points (18-11) and points off turnovers (26-19).

THE ESSENTIALS

Boxscore

Video highlights

ACC scoreboard

ACC standings

THE STARTING LINEUPS

For Capel's Panthers:

Xavier Johnson, guard

Trey McGowens, guard

Au'diese Toney, guard

Gerald Drumgoole, Jr., forward

Eric Hamilton, forward

And for Claunch's Nicholls State squad:

Kevin Johnson, guard

Dexter McClanahan, guard

Warith Alatishe, forward

Elvis Harvey, Jr., forward

D'Angelo Hunter, forward

THE SCHEDULE

Pitt looks to cleanse this defeat Tuesday out in Coraopolis, Pa., against Robert Morris (0-2). I'll be out there for all the coverage on that one.

THE COVERAGE

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THE ASYLUM